March 2026 Performance Review: +217.44 Points

Our best ever month. Here's how it played out.

Two hundred and seventeen points across all services in a single month, the highest return in the history of RH Sports Analysis and nearly twelve points clear of the previous record set in September 2025. Every service contributed, every week delivered something worth talking about, and the month ended with a Carabao Cup Final and a Madrid derby on the same Sunday afternoon. Here is the story of March.

Harry Kane had eight goals in his last four Bundesliga appearances heading into the Klassiker on 28 February, and with Dortmund's high line inviting runners in behind all season, the Counta in-play system flagged the 6/4 anytime scorer as the match opened up. Kane equalised from close range on 54 minutes after Gnabry knocked down Kimmich's chip, converted a penalty at 70 after Schlotterbeck fouled Stanišić, and Bayern eventually won a breathless game 3-2 when Kimmich's volley settled it in the 87th minute. Kane finished the night with a brace and 45 goals for the campaign.

The following week in Munich, Rocco Reitz's aggressive pressing style made him a natural candidate for a card in a match where Bayern would dominate possession and territory against Gladbach. He lasted 55 minutes before hauling down Bayern's Nicolas Jackson with a cynical rugby tackle that earned him a straight red, and the 5/1 to be carded settled with over half an hour still to play in a comfortable 4-1 win.

The first full week of March produced a cluster of results that set the tone for everything that followed.

Newcastle left it late against Manchester United on 4 March in a match that had already produced a red card, a penalty, and an equaliser in a chaotic spell of first-half stoppage time. The game looked destined for a draw until William Osula, just five minutes into his cameo off the bench, curled a left-footed winner past Lammens in the 90th minute. Osula's directness as an impact substitute in stretched, open games has been a recurring pattern this season, and the 16/1 on over 2.5 shots on target reflected the value in backing that profile when the match state invites it. Dan's tenner returned £170.

The same evening at the Etihad, Morgan Gibbs-White's role as Forest's most advanced central midfielder made him the obvious candidate for shots on target against a City side that allows runners to arrive late into the box. He forced early saves from Donnarumma in both halves before scoring a sensational backheel to make it 1-1, and the 8/1 on over 1.5 shots on target was confirmed well before City fought back to draw 2-2 in a match that went down to the final kick, Murillo clearing Savinho's shot off the line in the 99th minute.

A day later at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Crystal Palace dismantled a ten-man Spurs 3-1. Micky van de Ven's straight red at 38 minutes for denying Ismaila Sarr a clear goalscoring opportunity changed the match completely, and Sarr's pace against a reshuffled, rattled back line was always going to create more than one chance. He won and converted the resulting penalty, then added a second in first-half stoppage time with Spurs still reeling. The 20/1 on Sarr to score two or more was built on Palace's ability to exploit transitional chaos after a red card, and Aaron's tenner became £210.

Tijjani Reijnders rounded off the week in the FA Cup on 7 March. Man City's trip to Newcastle put him in a midfield that would see the majority of the ball, and his willingness to shoot from distance whenever the angle opens up has been one of the most reliable patterns in Guardiola's squad this season. He tested Ramsdale repeatedly across the ninety minutes in City's comfortable 3-1 win, and the 11/2 on over 1.5 shots on target came through without drama.

The same afternoon produced two separate winning builders. Arsenal's 2-1 win at Mansfield saw goals in the 40th and 66th minutes to confirm the "Arsenal to score in both halves" leg, while Mansfield's four yellow cards to Arsenal's two settled the "most cards Mansfield" side. Lower-league sides defending desperately at home against Premier League opposition almost always rack up more bookings, and the 9/4 builder returned £159.25. The Knebworth or Kullazain 7/4 Super Boost landed on the same day when Knebworth won at Wolverhampton under Billy Loughnane for another £137.50.

The racing had already started connecting. Falco Des Pins won at 9/5 at Leicester on 6 March under Charlie Deutsch in a controlled front-running performance, and Calimystic followed at 11/5 at Sandown the next day under Nico de Boinville, trained by Nicky Henderson and winning by a length and three-quarters. Form reads in context, the same discipline applied to a different sport.

18 March was the night that defined the month.

Tottenham had been demolished 5-2 in the first leg at the Metropolitano and needed to throw everything forward in the second leg, while Atletico's willingness to sit deep and counter meant chances would flow at both ends. That kind of open, end-to-end knockout tie is where direct attacking players thrive, and both Mathys Tel and Xavi Simons fit the profile perfectly. Tel is one of the most willing shooters in the Spurs squad, constantly looking to test the goalkeeper from range and from tight angles, and he repeatedly tested Musso across the first half. Simons scored twice, a 25-yard curler at 52 minutes and a stoppage-time penalty after being hauled down in the box. The 28/1 bet builder on both clearing over 1.5 shots on target settled as the biggest single-odds winner of the month, Bryan Cash's tenner returning £290. Spurs won the second leg 3-2 but exited 7-5 on aggregate, a brave defeat that still produced three separate winning selections on the night. Atletico's Lookman, whose movement into channels created space for shots throughout the tie, delivered on a separate 10/11 selection after assisting and registering shots on target across the two legs.

"The biggest single-odds winner of the month came from the simplest principle: two direct players in an open game, backed to test the keeper."

At Anfield on the same night, Liverpool dismantled Galatasaray 4-0 to overturn a 1-0 first-leg deficit and set up a quarter-final against PSG. Dominik Szoboszlai's positioning in central areas and his willingness to drive forward and shoot made him the standout candidate for the shots-on-target market, and he delivered with a left-footed finish at 25 minutes before forcing another save from Çakır later in the half. The 3/1 on over 1.5 shots on target was confirmed before the interval. Szoboszlai also won a penalty after Ismail Jakobs clattered into him in first-half stoppage time, completing both legs of a separate foul-based bet builder, although Salah's scuffed spot kick was saved. Salah made up for it emphatically in the second half, scoring his 50th Champions League goal with a trademark curling left-footer to become the first African player to reach that milestone.

The Europa and Conference League fixtures on 19 March required a different lens, one built on game state and physical dynamics rather than individual shooting profiles.

Nottingham Forest went to Denmark trailing 1-0 on aggregate after Cho Gue-Sung's late header at the City Ground in the first leg, and a side chasing an aggregate deficit at that stage of a European knockout tie almost always pushes numbers forward and dominates the shot count. Dominguez headed Forest level on the night at 40 minutes, Yates smashed a 20-yarder to make it 2-0 at 52, and Forest's shot dominance settled the most-shots-on-target leg of the Super Boost before Midtjylland's equaliser at 69 forced extra time. Early payout triggered at 2-0, so the penalty shootout that followed, Midtjylland missing all three of their spot kicks as Forest progressed, was pure entertainment rather than a requirement. The £50 stake at 4.50 returned £225.

In Cyprus the same night, AEK Larnaca against Crystal Palace descended into the kind of volatile, card-heavy contest that the Conference League produces almost every week at this stage. The first leg at Selhurst had ended goalless, and the return needed extra time after Saborit's powerful header cancelled out Sarr's opener. Two AEK red cards in the second half and extra time escalated the intensity, and Adam Wharton registered a shot on target as Palace pushed for a winner in a game where his progressive passing was pulling him into advanced areas. The 3/1 bet builder on cards for both teams and a Wharton shot on target connected amid the chaos, the £60 stake returning £285 after a cashed-out 25% winnings boost.

UFC Fight Night at The O2 on 21 March produced a clean sweep across four selections. Mason Jones won a unanimous decision over Axel Sola in a fight later named Fight of the Night, both fighters earning $100,000 bonuses for what many called the best bout of 2026 so far. Movsar Evloev kept his perfect record intact at 20-0 with a majority decision over Lerone Murphy in the main event, the 12/5 draw no bet reflecting his stylistic edge on the feet. Michael Page ground out a decision over Sam Patterson that the London crowd booed for its lack of action, the minus 3.5 rounds line settling comfortably across a full three rounds. And Danny Silva delivered the upset of the card at 39/20, stopping crowd favourite Kurtis Campbell with a second-round TKO after Campbell's tendency to lead with his chin left him exposed to the counter right hand that dropped him.

Two very different reads on the same Sunday afternoon, both connecting.

Bukayo Saka's directness has been one of the most reliable patterns in the Premier League all season, and a Carabao Cup Final against Manchester City was always going to amplify it. He was direct from the first whistle at Wembley, forcing James Trafford into a stunning triple save inside seven minutes, first from Havertz and then blocking two Saka follow-ups in quick succession. The 10/3 on over 1.5 shots on target settled before the match had any shape at all. Arsenal dominated the opening exchanges but could not convert, and Nico O'Reilly punished them with two headers in the space of four minutes just after the hour to win the cup 2-0 for City.

The touchline tension between Guardiola and Arteta has been building across multiple seasons of title races and cup meetings, and a final at Wembley was always the stage where it would surface. After O'Reilly's second goal, Guardiola sprinted down the sideline in wild celebration and was cautioned for his behaviour on the touchline. The 7/2 on Guardiola to be shown a card was a novelty market, but one rooted in years of observable behaviour at the biggest moments.

"Some markets are about data. Others are about knowing the characters."

Over at the Bernabéu, the Madrid derby delivered exactly the kind of open, chaotic contest where attacking substitutes can change a game in minutes. Nahuel Molina came off the bench at 57 minutes and his advancing role from right-back, combined with a match that was stretched from end to end, meant shooting opportunities were inevitable. Nine minutes after coming on he unleashed a swerving 25-yard strike to make it 2-2, one of the goals of the season, before Vinícius Júnior collected a Trent Alexander-Arnold diagonal and finished brilliantly six minutes later to win it 3-2 for Real in a match that still had time for a Valverde red card and an Álvarez shot off the post. The 5/2 on Molina over 1.5 shots on target settled comfortably, and Atletico's Lookman, who had opened the scoring at 33 minutes, contributed to yet another winning selection across the two sides of the same fixture.

The horse racing selections threaded through March quietly but consistently. Falco Des Pins at 9/5 and Calimystic at 11/5 opened the account in week one with controlled front-running performances where form and ground conditions pointed in one direction. Independent Lady at 10/3 and Vol Royale at 3/1 both delivered at Hereford, and Knebworth completed the Super Boost on FA Cup day. Cheltenham Festival fell in the middle of the month, dominated by Willie Mullins and Paul Townend as expected, and the Insider Info service contributed across all four days at Prestbury Park.

Man City host Liverpool in the FA Cup quarter-final on the 4th before Liverpool travel to PSG the following Wednesday in the first leg of the Champions League quarter-final, with the return at Anfield the following week. The FA Cup semi-finals close out the month, the Premier League title race is tightening with every round of fixtures, and Salah's final weeks in a Liverpool shirt will play out across all of it. Four competitions, the biggest fixtures of the calendar, and selections across every one of them.

Full performance data available on the Results page.