April 2026 Performance Review: +131.8 Points

Three legendary winners and a streak that won't break.

131.8 points across all services in April, with the run of consecutive profitable months extending to 26. Three legendary winners inside the month, including the biggest single-odds win since November's 96/1 Champions League acca, plus selections across five competitions on two continents. April moved fast: the title race tightened, the Champions League reached its semi-finals, and the FA Cup hit its decisive weekend at Wembley. Across all of it, the analytical reads stayed consistent. Read the matchup, read the game state, read the player profile, then trust the price.

Arsenal

1–2

Bournemouth

Premier League

Bournemouth arrived at the Emirates on the 11th of April riding the longest unbeaten run in the Premier League at eleven matches, and the market still had them at 11/2 to win. Won @ 11/2 That gap between observable form and price was the first signal. Arsenal had lost the Carabao Cup Final to Manchester City a fortnight earlier, exited the FA Cup at home to Southampton the previous weekend, and now had to face a Bournemouth side coming in with structure and confidence.

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The selection was Bournemouth to win, taken in-play once the pattern of the game confirmed the pre-match read. Kroupi opened the scoring on 16 minutes, Gyökeres equalised from the penalty spot, but Arsenal never established control. Their open-play xG of 0.19 was the second-lowest on record at home for the club, and Alex Scott's composed finish at 73 minutes sealed a 2-1 victory. Bournemouth's unbeaten run extended to a club-record twelve matches in the top flight.

The sharper edge of the afternoon came from the card market. Adrien Truffert had been physically aggressive against Madueke through the first half, repeatedly disrupting Arsenal's right-side build-up. When Madueke was substituted at 54 minutes, Truffert carried the same approach into duels with replacement Dowman, and the booking arrived at 76 minutes. The 11/2 on Truffert to be carded Won @ 11/2 was reading a defender whose approach to direct wingers made the booking expected over ninety minutes.

Chelsea

0–3

Manchester City

Premier League

The same weekend, Chelsea hosted Manchester City in a fixture where the script was already largely written. City needed three points after Arsenal's defeat the day before had opened the title race window, and the analytical reads were about player profiles inside a game where City were always going to dominate possession. Rayan Cherki, City's most threatening creative player over the past month, settled the shot on target before half-time with a strike from range. Won @ Evens Nico O'Reilly headed in Cherki's floated cross at 51 minutes to confirm his shot on target at 11/8, Won @ 11/8 continuing the form that had already seen him score twice in the Carabao Cup Final the month before.

The bet builder on Antoine Semenyo's shots on target combined with Chelsea's goal range at 7/2 Won @ 7/2 sat on the broader game state. With City controlling possession and Chelsea sitting deeper to absorb pressure, Semenyo had the space and license to shoot from wide and cutting positions. Three goals in seventeen second-half minutes settled a 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge that cut the title-race gap to six points with a game in hand.

The 19th of April delivered the most analytically rich afternoon of the month: two fixtures, two of April's three legendary winners, and two completely different reads on what makes a player commit to an action under pressure.

Everton

1–2

Liverpool

Premier League

At Hill Dickinson Stadium for the first Merseyside derby at Everton's new ground, Cody Gakpo arrived knowing Rio Ngumoha was on the bench behind him and pushing hard for his starting place. The analytical read was simple: a forward under that kind of internal pressure tends to shoot more, not less. The 16/1 on over 2.5 shots on target Won @ 16/1 was built on that read, and Gakpo delivered by a distance. He hit three on target and assisted Salah's opener that equalled Steven Gerrard's Premier League Merseyside derby record. Van Dijk's 100th-minute header from a Szoboszlai corner won Liverpool the game and kept the top-five push alive. Bryan Cash's tenner returned £170.

Manchester City

2–1

Arsenal

Premier League

At the Etihad later the same day, Manchester City hosted Arsenal with the title race at its tightest point. Arsenal arrived six points clear with City holding a game in hand, and ninety minutes later the lead was three. The 23/1 bet builder on Haaland and Gabriel both to be booked Won @ 23/1 sat on three years of matchup history that runs through every meeting between the two since their touchline confrontation at the Emirates in February 2023. Add a title-race fixture at its most decisive point, Haaland's record of scoring in four consecutive Premier League meetings against Arsenal, and Gabriel's physical defending style against a centre-forward who thrives on contact, and bookings for both had a realistic route rather than a novelty one.

The flashpoint arrived in the closing stages. The pair tangled in midfield, Haaland pushed Gabriel after being fouled, and Gabriel leaned his head forward into the Norwegian. Both went into the book. The builder was cashed out at £115 on Ugz's £10 stake before full time, locking in the result without the late VAR risk of an upgrade to serious foul play.

Pep Guardiola's 3/1 yellow Won @ 3/1 was the third thread at the Etihad and the most character-driven. He walked into Sunday with six bookings already this season including the recent touchline ban from the Newcastle FA Cup tie, and the combination of the most consequential league game of his season, a referee under pressure, and decisions flowing both ways made a seventh booking the expected outcome rather than the surprising one. He picked it up during the game and confirmed it in his post-match interview with a knowing line about being “really pleased I get another yellow card.”

Burnley

0–1

Manchester City

Premier League

The midweek trip to Turf Moor on the 22nd of April was about momentum. Three days after edging Arsenal at the Etihad, Manchester City needed three points to climb above their title rivals on goals scored. Burnley sat 19th with the worst defence in the division, offering nothing in the build-up to suggest they could disrupt the visitors' rhythm.

The win-to-nil at 6/4 Won @ 6/4 sat on top of that read. Haaland scored after five minutes, City managed the rest, and the clean sheet was never seriously threatened despite a handful of late Burnley pushes. Cherki, operating between the lines as City's attacking conductor, was always going to drive shooting volume on a night City would dominate possession, and two on target settled the 5/2. Won @ 5/2 The third angle was Walker against Doku in the wide channel: Walker now lined up in Burnley's defence rather than City's, facing the kind of one-on-one duel he'd been on the same side of for years. Doku is the player most likely to expose any full-back drawn into isolated wide areas, and over ninety minutes those duels accumulate fouls. Walker fouling Doku at 8/11 Won @ 8/11 was reading how the wide channel would play out and pricing in the inevitable.

Arsenal

1–0

Newcastle

Premier League

The late kick-offs on Saturday the 25th produced the biggest single-odds win of the month. Arsenal hosted Newcastle at the Emirates needing a response after the Etihad defeat, and Newcastle were always going to be the side trying to break Arsenal's structure. Eberechi Eze settled the result inside ten minutes with a curling strike from a short-corner routine, and the rest of the afternoon followed the rhythm pre-match analysis had pointed to.

When Newcastle struggle to find central rhythm through Bruno Guimarães, the responsibility for shooting volume shifts elsewhere. Sandro Tonali drops deeper, picks the ball up in space, and shoots from range. Against an organised Arsenal block holding a 1-0 lead, those long-range openings were the ones Newcastle were always going to find. The 3+ shots from outside the box at 35/1 Won @ 35/1 was priced for an afternoon where Tonali barely registered. What arrived instead was a midfielder firing repeatedly from distance, including a swerving thirty-yard effort that forced David Raya into a sharp one-handed save. Jordan's tenner returned £360.

The Madueke read was different in nature but identical in logic. Arsenal's right-hand side was always going to carry their attacking flow with Saka still working back from injury, and Madueke is one of the most willing shooters in the squad. The duel down that flank with Daniel Burn played out exactly as the matchup suggested, with Madueke repeatedly beating his man for pace and getting shots away from the right channel. The 9/4 on three or more shots Won @ 9/4 had priced his quality, not his volume.

Manchester City

2–1

Southampton

FA Cup Semi-Final

On Saturday the 25th, Manchester City faced Championship side Southampton in a fixture where City were heavy favourites and the market priced the semi-final accordingly. The selection wasn't about the result, it was about how this specific kind of fixture tends to unfold. Cup semi-finals against lower-division opposition often follow the same arc: the underdog stays compact, frustrates the favourite for long stretches, and finds a moment where the game opens up. With Guardiola rotating through eight changes and his side looking rusty in the first half, the conditions for that pattern were already in place. The first goal in those matches doesn't always go to the team in control. Southampton scoring first at 13/1 Won @ 13/1 was sitting on that pattern, not on a fast start. Finn Azaz then opened the scoring in the 79th minute, exactly the kind of late underdog goal that this fixture profile creates. Doku equalised within three minutes and Nico González won it from 25 yards in the 87th, but the read had cashed long before that.

Chelsea

1–0

Leeds United

FA Cup Semi-Final

The Sunday semi-final brought a different texture. Chelsea against a Leeds side desperate to knock them out, both managers under pressure, and a Wembley atmosphere that rarely produces calm football. The build-a-bet treble at 5.6/1, boosted from 2.8/1, Won @ 5.6/1 layered three connected reads onto the nature of the fixture: cards for both sides reflected the physical battle Leeds were always going to bring against a more technical Chelsea midfield, the over 5.5 cards leg scaled that same intensity across ninety minutes, and the under 3.5 home goals leg priced in Chelsea's struggles in the final third with Cole Palmer starting on the bench. Enzo Fernández's 23rd-minute header was the only Chelsea goal of the afternoon. Seven yellow cards landed across the ninety minutes and each leg of the treble settled on the same underlying read.

The 26th of April delivered three connected selections from two Brasileirão Série A matches on the same Sunday afternoon.

Corinthians went into the thirteenth round searching for their first home league win in weeks, with Vasco arriving off the back of two consecutive wins under Renato Gaúcho. The win-to-nil at 12/5 Won @ 12/5 was built on Corinthians' defensive structure at home and Vasco's patchy away record. Matheus Bidu scored on 38 minutes, André Luiz was sent off in stoppage time of the first half, and Corinthians defended the lead with ten men for the entire second half. They held it. Andrés Gómez was the standout angle on the Vasco side: the Colombian winger, used wide and direct, was always going to drive shooting volume against a Corinthians defence sitting deeper after going ahead and a man down. The 7/2 on two or more shots on target Won @ 7/2 sat on his role, not his form, and the second on target arrived late as Vasco pushed for an equaliser that never came.

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The same evening, Palmeiras travelled to Bragança Paulista as runaway league leaders. The win-to-nil at 3/1 Won @ 3/1 reflected exactly that profile: not dominance, but discipline. Flaco López scored on 20 minutes after an Andreas Pereira ball found Sosa, who squared for the Argentine to finish first time. After that, the game settled into Palmeiras controlling tempo and Carlos Miguel making the saves that mattered, including two crucial stops from Lucas Barbosa headers. Bragantino had territory but never the clear chance to use it.

Away from football, four selections came through across four meetings between the 22nd and 25th of April. Barlovento at 11/4 Won @ 11/4 won the 2:10 at Perth on the 22nd. Lost Boys at 7/4 Won @ 7/4 took the 4:45 at Sandown on the 24th, with Stumps Or Slips at 6/5 Won @ 6/5 closing out the same evening at Chepstow. Lion of Mali at 7/4 Won @ 7/4 then landed the 5:05 at Leicester on the 25th. Different ground, different distances, the same approach: form, conditions, and observable patterns pointing clearly in one direction.

The Champions League semi-final first legs followed straight after the round-up week. PSG drew 1-1 with Bayern at the Parc des Princes on the 28th of April, and Arsenal travelled to Madrid the following night to take a 1-1 from Atlético in the other first leg. Both ties produced clear analytical reads in the build-up. The second legs land in early May, PSG away to Bayern at the Allianz and Arsenal hosting Atlético at the Emirates. The Premier League title race comes down to a game in hand, the FA Cup Final closes out the cup year, and Salah's farewell weeks at Liverpool will play out across all of it.

Full performance data available on the Results page.